Tuesday, July 04, 2006

Institutionalized Choking

The above piece of copyright infringement, pilfered from the London Times, shows the success rate of teams in World Cup shoot outs. The Germans are an amazing 17/18 all time while the Brits have the lowest percentage of any team to have taken more than ten penalty kicks. After viewing the chart and the accompanying story, which can be found at: http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,28782-2253631,00.html, I am now convinced that penalty shoot outs aren't the complete guessing game they are portrayed to be. Portugal keeper Ricardo and German keeper Jens Lehmann both correctly predicted which way each penalty taker would shoot. It is therefore not at all surprising that their teams were victors in their respective shootouts. I just wanted to post this chart as further evidence of the propensity of the Brits to fold whenever the chips are down.

German v. Italy Preview

Germans have not beaten the Italians in World Cup match. The Italians beat the Germans in march 4-1. Why then am I picking Germany to win this game? Home field advantage. The 12th man in the stands. Germany has been playing the best attacking football of any team remaining in the tournament but Italy have the best defensive record having not allowed a single goal from the boot of an opponent. Totti and Toni had good games in the quarters, albeit against Ukraine. There's really no case to be made against Italy. I think they have the better team but the Germans are playing at home. Germany 1-0?


Anonymous Anonymous said...

The only thing you missed was that man for man, Italy is better. Cheers and glad I found your blog

9:11 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Since the most important part of PKs are the goalies, as you point out, wouldn't a list of PKs allowed tell us more about who's best in these situations? Notice that, based on this list, Portugal wouldn't be considered very good, despite Ricardo's excellence.

11:27 PM  

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